Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 [Read Only] - Pugugly

***** This thread is now closed, please CLICK HERE to go to Volume 13 *****


To continue the debate on the effects of the so called Credit Crunch.

Vol: 11 can be found by clicking:- here

All CC related stuff will be decanted in here.


Keep it relevant, motoring is linked to the crisis, any "Yah Booh Politics" will be chopped.

Edited by Dynamic Dave on 01/02/2009 at 01:30

Repossesions anyone? - telecaster
just curious to know in the present economic climate has anyone here or know of anyone who bought on credit say 2 years ago, who has had car repossesed?

Also did we live beyond our means....ie: must have the latest Ford Focus?

In a way imo the recession has brought us down to earth in a good way.

Thoughts anyone?
Repossesions anyone? - Honestjohn
A bunch of off topic posts have been hidden. Please keep it at least motor related, or post in the "I have a question" thread.

HJ
Repossesions anyone? - tawse
I noticed in the past 24 hours there have been various economists on various news programmes stating that deflation is now a serious concern.

There was a chap on last night who said that we were pretty close to major assets falling in price here in the UK. Usually, the major assets referred to by economists are houses and cars.
Repossesions anyone? - jbif
... major assets falling in price here in the UK ... the major assets referred to by economists are houses and cars .. >>


HJ's news on the right appears to contradict fall in prices view of that "chap on last night".

www.honestjohn.co.uk/news/item.htm?id=5642

Repossesions anyone? - Sofa Spud
I walked past the local secondhand car dealer today. Their cars are usually keenly priced as they tend to be high-mileage but good condition. But I was taken aback at how cheap they are getting now. Everything seemed cheap except for a VW Golf Mk5 TDI that looked a bit dear.

Edited by Sofa Spud on 21/01/2009 at 14:10

Repossesions anyone? - Honestjohn
Not my news, jbif. A release by Glass's Guide. My news is in my auction reports that show big, guzzly used cars losing value like the money in Zimbabwe, but smaller, desirable used cars holding on and used low CO2 economy cars increasing in value.

HJ
Repossesions anyone? - stunorthants26
Ive noticed used values for Charades like mine seem very strong, some equal to mine and some more than I paid for my little rocket 9 months ago.
Repossesions anyone? - madf
Agree with HJ. Used Mercs/Jags.?Lexus prices fallen approx 50% in past 12 months.

(No that's not a misprint)

Lots of low mileages (<20k) Mercedes 220cdi diesels immaculate fsh for c £10k AND NOT SELLING fast.
Repossesions anyone? - aaflyer
Well, I've just bought an I-10, mainly on HJ's road test and a nice experience on a test drive. If the "premier" dealerships are empty, I can only say that people appear to be buying at the "cheaper" end of the market. My local BMW dealership is always empty when I drive home from work - and my hours vary so it's not as if it's the same time each day.

Last Saturday my local Hyaundi dealer was packed with people trading in "decent" cars for the new I-20 and I-10. Well, come on, with a 5 year warranty and 3 years' worth of free servicing, I'm game!

AA
Repossesions anyone? - malden blue
if there are many repeats of todays shocking 131,000 rise in unemployment you can forget luxuries like cars we'll all be lucky own a bike (still the most energy efficient mode of transort ever invented I do believe!)
Audi to stop work for five days - smokie
From the Beeb news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7845630.stm
Audi to stop work for five days - Rattle
I am not sure what I am doing wrong but I am finding it hard to find any decent cars around the £1500, I was interested in a T reg Corsa with FSH and 3 months warranty, it was advertised at above book price at £1300, I went to see it today and was told it was sold at at the asking price :(

He told me that the cars are selling very easily, now is the bottom end of the market becoming more and more popular due to the credit crunch and this putting up prices of bangers?

Certainly from what I can tell there seems to be no real bargains in this area. I would be tempted by a new car as this is where the great bargains seem to be, but I won't get credit and that is of course why the cars are so cheap in the first place!

Personaly I am trading as normal and have yet to see any personal affects of this credit crunch, I have seen changes yes and I don't doubt its serious I just sometimes wonder if the media make this entire thing ten times worse.

The government should say "worried about loosing your money, treat yourself to that brand new car as security"
Credit Crunch Vol 12 - small cars higher in price - barneybear
Rattle - I'm selling a 2001 Punto with full SH, 12m MOT and 5m Tax, 79k in very good condition for much less. Two buyers keen already, so if you can match £900 its yours. But during the crunch are we becoming polarised - the have's and have nots? Those in good, stable jobs with no fears can afford to go and spend a little and grab a bargin. One or two cars on 57plates I've tried to contact in autotrader - now found dealers gone bust - all over country. My local Renault dealer has gone to the wall. Week before talking to sales staff stating they are busy - but when it comes to getting credit customers being refused - not in job long enough, don't earn enough for repayments, or past history not squeeky clean.
Bargins I fear only for those with solid cash to spend.

Punto - going....going.....
Fiat in need of cash - Falkirk Bairn
A chill swept through the motor industry yesterday as Fiat slashed its forecasts and scrapped its dividend in the face of plummeting sales and a sudden draining of cash at the end of the year.

Borrowings at Fiat, which this week said it planned to take a stake in Chrysler, have soared to ?5.4 billion (£5 billion) because of a build-up of unsold trucks and farm machinery in the final quarter.

We just cars - small ones but obviously they are much bigger
£2.3b rescue package - movilogo
How exactly the £2.3b rescue package will rescue car manufacturers?

Are they going to produce more cars when already people are not buying them?

Edited by movilogo on 28/01/2009 at 08:24

£2.3b rescue package - L'escargot
How exactly the £2.3b rescue package will rescue car manufacturers?


I have no idea whatsoever what the effect of £2.3 billion would be, because I can't relate it to my own personal finances. 2.3 billion is just a number of incomprehensible magnitude to me.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
Does the situation suggest that most people buy cars on credit?

Put this into perspective for me because I'm not familiar with buying on credit. Give me an example of a typical credit transaction for buying a car. I want to be able to work out how long it would take to save up for the car if you saved the equivalent of the monthly repayments.

So ......... how much is borrowed, how long is the repayment period, and what would be the monthly repayments?

And no, I'm not rich, just old fashioned ~ if I can't save up for it I don't buy it.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - MVP
I read yesterday that 75% of cars in recent years were purchased using some form of credit !!!

MVP
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - oilrag
"Rattle - I'm selling a 2001 Punto"

Sold - as seen?
;-)

Incidentally - our 2002 Punto doesn`t have a speck of rust - even stone chips on the bonnet don`t rust due to the galvanising.
Looks like a good deal - plenty of cheap parts and replacement panels /doors/bumpers and so on in breakers - in case of a knock or two.


Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - ForumNeedsModerating
The funny thing about buying on credit, is that the 'advantage' of instant gratification only works the first time.

If, instead of buying on credit, you saved up beforehand to buy, it would (for arguments' sake) take you 3 years: you save up the equivalent of monthly repayments in advance then pay cash - but without interest added of course (..in fact you earn interest).

When you buy on credit you get the new car buzz 3 years earlier, but effectively spend the next 3 years paying for that - just the same as saving up in advance & paying cash really - but with interest payment added of course.

So, you 'save' the waiting time of the initial purchase, but are then forever paying interest - instead of earning it with the 'saving up' method - all for the one & only 'advantage' of getting the 1st new car earlier (you can subsitute 2nd hand car of course in the above examples - same principle though)

It's a mug's game - but more than that, when the credit dries up - the whole economy collapses - mostly because people get locked into the cycle of credit/default & have no real cash money of their own.



Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
woodbines, that's exactly what I did ~ saved up for my first new car.

It was a small and basic car with a puny 875 cc engine, bought when I was 27 in 1965. Since then all I've had to do is save up the cost to change for every subsequent car, earning interest on the money in the intervening years. I've always resisted the temptation of buying anything on credit (except for a mortgage) and hence couldn't afford my first new car until the relatively late age of 27. I started modestly and gradually worked my way up until I was happy with the level of car I've got now.

I'd still like to know how long it would take to save up the equivalent of the monthly repayments in order to pay cash compared with how long it would take to pay off a loan.

Edited by L'escargot on 28/01/2009 at 12:16

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - TheOilBurner
L'escargot: one example...

£10,000 spent on a car (ignore trade in)

To save £10k from scratch over 4 years requires saving approx. £200 a month with interest at 2%.

To have a loan for £10k over 4 years is £246 a month at 8.9% APR (a fair rate for today).

So, over 4 years the loan is costing someone an extra £2208!! Ouch!!

However, not having the loan would mean making do with old bangers (possibly) until you've saved the cash, and how much would be spent on buying and repairing old bangers over 4 years?

OTOH, if you have a good reliable car already, then it seems a very simple equation, save up - don't loan...

Edited by TheOilBurner on 28/01/2009 at 13:45

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
So over 4 years the loan is costing someone an extra £2208!! Ouch!!


Thanks, TheOilBurner, you've answered my question.

So ......... saving up £246 per month and then paying cash takes (approximately) only 39 months, compared to repayments taking 48 months.



Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - TheOilBurner
That's about the size of it. Of course, if you shop around you can do better than 2% interest, which really starts to make loans look like the worst kind of folly for a depreciating asset like a car.

That said, I'm in the loan trap myself. I don't like it mind, and I'm hoping to be in a better position next time. Half the problem is setting a realistic budget and sticking to it, especially when loans are so easy to get and open up the market to much newer cars then you might otherwise afford.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Old Navy
And no I'm not rich just old fashioned ~ if I can't save up for
it I don't buy it.

You and me both. And probably many more of our generation. House exepted (paid for).

Edited by Old Navy on 28/01/2009 at 12:06

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Alby Back
Me too. Never had a car loan or any other kind of loan in my life except a mortgage. If I haven't got the money to pay for something I don't buy it. Might not always have been the cleverest policy but it sure as heck feels like it is now.

My dad gave me what turned out to be very good advice from the day I earned my first pay packet and I have stuck religiously to this rule ever since. He told me to put 10% of whatever I had earned straight into a "rainy day" fund no matter how little or much that represented. I still do it now. Over the years this built up to a sum which represented a year's net income. I now never let the fund fall below an equivalent modern sum. Anything I have over and above that is fun money. Resultantly if I have no income for 12 months I can survive and in the meanwhile I can spend my fun fund without guilt.

Works for me.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
He told me to put 10% of whatever I had earned straight into a
"rainy day" fund no matter how little or much that represented.


I applied the same principle to my mortgage repayments. I chose my first property (a modest maisonette) on the basis that the mortgage repayments were an affordable 15% of my gross salary. Whenever my salary went up I increased my mortgage repayments proportionally.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
When I was saving up for my first new car I arranged to live within cycling distance of my job. And when I changed jobs I made sure my new job was within cycling distance of my abode. I cut my coat according to my cloth.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Clk Sec
Glad to know I'm not completely on my own.

I waited until the ripe old age of 35 before buying my first new car for cash, and paid no more than £350 for the cars that I had owned before that.

Values have changed considerably - that's for certain.

Clk Sec

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - ForumNeedsModerating
yes L'escargot - once you've got through the 'difficult' first 3-4 years (of not having the sparkly new car & driving a modest 2ndhand job instead..) you're effectively just paying the same, i.e. saving-up in advance as someone who is always on credit - but you're always earning interest while they're always paying interest!

It seems almost 'dishonest' ! ;)

After a bike loan 30-odd years ago, I realised how daft it was getting a loan, when with a little forebearance & thrift I could pay cash & realise the benefit of the accruing interest for myself. Now, like youself, I save up in the intervening period & have the cash to spend on the new (or 2nd hand!) car when I want it.

Paying cash also seems makes you (in my case anyway..) a bit more, well, 'hard' about the decision & whole buying process. If you're not bowing & scraping to get a loan, the psychological 'boot' seems to be on the other foot when choosing/negotiating with a car dealer - if they don't come up with the deal, you can just go to one who can.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Westpig
i'm not a big fan of credit, but have used it in the past.

the comments above about saving up for a car and not buying one on credit are missing some element of the point

if you need reliability (e.g. for a job), security (e.g. carrying around a baby/child), particular vehilce (e.g. van for work) then you might have to decide that buying one early on credit is a sensible option

for example, some 20 years ago, my only car was becoming well expensive to maintain. My house at the time was in negative equity and i'd become single again, having to pay off an ex to keep the mortgage endowments as mine. My day to day cashflow was dreadful, i'd used up the savings to pay the ex and having looked at the previous 18 months of bills on my old car i worked out that buying a much newer car on 'tick' would be financially sensible.

cheaper fuel costs (change from early 20's to mid to late 30's mpg for a 12,000 miles p.a. user), no irregular maintenance costs (9 month old car) etc only cost me an extra £50 per month out of my pocket, which at the time was well worth it...particularly as I had friends/family 230 miles away and a reliable car meant the difference between visiting and not bothering.

I'd agree that huge great credit payments for something just because you want to look good or fancy the newer model isn't at all sensible.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - PhilW
"couldn't afford my first new car until the relatively late age of 27."
"I waited until the ripe old age of 35 before buying my first new car for cash"

Blimey, I must be a late starter - my first new car was when I was 55. And that was only because I took advantage of interest free credit offer from Citroen. Figured it would be good to have a newish car when I retired. As it was, they had another interest free offer 3 years later and with what I sold my "old car" (3 years old - still the newest car I had ever owned!) for and the new price I just continued the payments. 2 years later I had paid it off. I guess interest free means you can save for a car and have it early without losing too much - well, except for interest on the saving bit. That "loss of interest " was probably covered by the 10% better fuel economy of the new car (maybe?)

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Honestjohn
According to Ford's Sales Director, Ford is seeing far greater showroom traffic this January than it did last January.

Apparently many elderly people with cash see no point in leaving it in a bank at a tiny interest rate (and running some risk if losing it altogether). So instead they are spending it one one last decent car.

HJ
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - PhilW
And at the other end of the sales spectrum from Ford, I was chatting to a small independent dealer in second hand cars the other day and asked him how things were going expecting him to say "ticking over" and he said that he had picked up some fantastic bargains at auction and had sold ten cars last Saturday alone - was doing better trade than last year. I guess it's a case of "right car, right price and it sells".
Phil

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - jbif
According to Ford's Sales Director, Ford is seeing far greater showroom traffic ... >>


Must make sure Mandy/Gordy/Darling and the Baroness Green-Shoots-of-Recovery know about this. So that they can scrub off Ford's name off the list of manufacturers going to them with their begging bowls.

Edited by jbif on 28/01/2009 at 20:01

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Waino
Apparently many elderly people with cash see no point in leaving it in a bank at a tiny interest rate (and running some risk if losing it altogether). So instead they are spending it one one last decent car.>>


I alluded to this possible phenomenon a couple of weeks ago on an earlier CC thread:

""During the coming months, the 'fixed-rate' savings accounts of many older folks will be maturing - and what do they do with the money? Would they put it back into a bank that could go bankrupt at any time, stash it under the mattress for a slimeball to come and nick ..... or, go out and buy a new Jazz?""

...... but tawse pointed out that I was wrong.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Honestjohn
Less gloom here than in Channel 4 News.

HJ
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - loskie
That's what my dad(73) and my twin aunts(80) did this last year Dad bought an Octavia and Aunts a Yaris. Both diesel(not required IMHO) and both paid cash and stupidly full list price!!

Edited by smokie on 29/01/2009 at 09:26

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - madf
Yes : retired friends boiught a new Fiesta. \Last week.

BUT it was the old model 25% off. They did not like the new one.

Maybe that accounts for some of the sales increase?

Edited by madf on 29/01/2009 at 09:17

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
According to Ford's Sales Director Ford is seeing far greater showroom traffic .......... decent car.


When I read things like that I'm pleased I'm a fan of Ford cars!

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Clk Sec
Local estate agent is saying that enquiries received during this month are far higher than those received in January last year. He didn't mention sales, however.

Nice to hear a few optimistic words amidst all the gloom. Is that a green shoot I spot in the distance?

Clk Sec
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - madf
Green shoots?

Ther are always market fluctuations.

House prices I suspect have another 25% to fall (down 16% in 2008) - .

Come back and ask in 2010?
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - moonshine {P}

Increased taxation or loss of public sector jobs will hamper any recovery. Recent job losses and loss of tax revenue (stamp duties, VAT and income) still need time to feed into the system.

There will be green shoots and the ecomony will recover, it's a question of when. Personally, I think it will be at least 12 months before we see any green shoots.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - ForumNeedsModerating
Far, far too early to be talking about recovery in my view. Sure, some sectors will do better (relatively) & some new businesses/niches will arise, but overall the current 'numbers' have barely had time to make an impact yet.

We're still in the 'phoney war' really - the effects of even the autumn contraction have barely affected the GDP yet. House price falls & repossessions have at least 3 years to go before bottoming out - more likely 5-7 years. I see 10-12 years before even nominal asset 2007 values are reached - barring hyperinflation through currency slump that is.

I think we're in a phase shift transition - never will we have the buying power of 2007 again - we simply won't be rich enough. I'm already cutting my cloth, as it were, and re-calibrating my (personal) future expectations.

The big lie currently is that this is just another recession (although deeper & sharper..) - I don't think it is, it's much more fundamental.

(it's being so cheerful that keeps me going!)

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - hxj

Really don't understand all this.

I accept that I earn good money but my services are in demand still. Many business people I talk to on a regular basis are still really very busy. For others some parts are up and some down. Some people are having a rough time.

In the town where I live house selling prices have dropped by about 10% and houses are still selling.

I've always believed in credit and always borrowed as long as my personal cash flow is about zero.

I've taken out substantial amounts of credit in the last few months, some to re-finance and some to store away, with no issues at all.

So in these straightened times I've never had so much free cash to do what I want with. My mortgage has dropped to a third of what it was, thats a lot of £100's a month.

I cannot possible believe that I am the only person in the world in such circumstances.

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - smokie
No, you aren't. But there are many who aren't as lucky. Joining for a moment with the visionaries, I can see a very distinct two tier society evolving, along with it higher crime and (eventually) civil unrest. I'm not really a gloomy sort, but not everyone will be as lucky as you are hxj. I hope it continues for you.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - harib
I think part of the problem is the massive amount of personal debt that we have. Whilst people like you and me (I presume) can take out 0% credit cards and pay them off when the 0% ends, there have been a lot of people out there who have taken out 5 credit cards, minimum payments on all of them, plus a couple of loans - and then have hit the buffers and can't get anymore credit to fund their overstretched lifestyle.

The banks are still lending. You just need a good credit record now, whilst before they would have thrown money at you. Those with defaults and CCJs on their credit records are the ones who are probably feeling the pain most right about now.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - ifithelps
....those with defaults and CCJs on their credit records are the ones who are probably feeling the pain most right about now...

One of the injustices of the system is that those who can least afford it are forced to pay the most.

Similarly, the cheapest and best food is generally at supermarkets.

Can't afford a car? Pay cornershop prices, then.

Pay-as-you-go electric meters used to charge more, although that may have changed.

Cash machines that charge a transaction fee are routinely installed in the smaller shopping parades on estates, thereby catching the elderly and others without access to their own transport.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
cheapest and best food is generally at supermarkets


Not quite right - veg and meat is better at local shops and you generally get more bang for your buck.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Honestjohn
Very off topic, but, according to Jamie Oliver, cheap cuts of Pork are not even sold in the UK. They are exported because British supermarkets have determined that the customers don't want them.

HJ
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Zippy123
Same with mutton HJ,

Sheep are still grown in the UK and older ones are exported. Perfectly good in a slow cooker but supermarkets don't think that there is a demand!

Total waste!

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Altea Ego
SQ
Total waste!


I like my lamb tender and slightly underdone, not some scraggy fatty meat boiled to death for hours.

How is exporting food for money a waste?

Edited by Dynamic Dave on 30/01/2009 at 13:39

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
Very off topic


I wonder who will mark HJ's card for being off topic ?! Personally I think its all relevant, expensive priorities elsewhere affects motoring, it may stop you doing the odd fe pleasure miles or stop you buying a new vehicle altogether - in here I think its all motoring related.

£3.00 for two A cup chicken breasts at the local food cavern or 3.50 for two DDs at the local butcher ! (and they actually taste of chicken as a bonus)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - harib
I've never consciously thought about chicken breasts and cup size before.

In fact, now I wish I hadn't!
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Alby Back
I know. He was on about ducks the other day too. Maybe he's getting a thing about feathers.......

;-)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - tack
>>>veg and meat is better at local shops >>

It is very rare that I go to the supermrket now. I support my local shops by buying food on a daily basis from greengrocer and butcher. Admittedly, it is but a short 7 minute walk from home at the weekend, or on way home from station ater work.

The bonus is that my car can stay in the garage, not suffer car park "dings" and is probably better for the environment (in it's own very small way)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Clk Sec
I forgot to include this in the above post:

:-)

Clk Sec
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - movilogo
Apparently many elderly people with cash see no point in leaving it in a bank at a tiny interest rate (


Just yesterday I visited Ford dealership for getting my car's MOT. Ford was doing it for just £27.

I was wondering why all customers there [barring me :)] were old gentelmen!!



Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
Just yesterday I visited Ford dealership for getting my car's MOT. Ford was doing it
for just £27.
I was wondering why all customers there [barring me :)] were old gentelmen!!


You probably went during normal working hours, and you were the only employed person who was swinging the lead instead of being at work!
;-)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - madf
Two stage society?

We're already there. visit any "sink" estate.


Edited by madf on 29/01/2009 at 14:18

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Alanovich
We've always been there. It's just the position of the boundary between tiers which fluctuates. Hundreds of years ago it was extremely high (feudalism). Today, it is comparatively low.

Can't remember there ever having been a Communist Utopia in Britian.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - oilrag
Nor a Fascist.. mind you - there must be a few potential Adolf Hitlers in the `respectable` Shires and Market Towns - voting ultra right..
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Honestjohn
Now, back to motoring, the laws of supply and demand are seeing car auction prices rising. Click on the news item on the right.

HJ
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Old Navy
A friend told me today (over lunch) that he had been offered £3,000 as a trade in on his four year old top of the range SAAB that was listed at £20,000 when new, He also said it is probably good for another ten years so it will be kept. No wonder new cars are not selling.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Honestjohn
From today's auction report:-

SAAB 9-3 2.0T Aero 4-dr, 04 reg, 99k miles £3,550s

SAABs don't make a lot because of the fear they are going to need some very expensive work.

HJ
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Alby Back
But do Saabs cost more than average to maintain HJ ? I thought quite a lot of their underpinnings were GM ?
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - madf
I understand SAABs have some built in weaknesses on engines and suspensions which appear around 100k miles and are NOT cheap to sort out.

GM engineering is carp compared to Ford.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
GM engineering is carp compared to Ford.


The more that Backroomers big up Ford the happier I get. I'll probably have to keep my 2003 Focus until it's 10 years old.

Edited by L'escargot on 31/01/2009 at 07:40

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Honestjohn
SAAB dealers charge more to maintain them. But the biggest cost is repairs. Component prices are expensive. And the main current shared engines are the rather dodgy 1.9 Alfa Romeo diesels and the petrol V6. SAAB 4 cylinder engines are their own chain cammers the origins of which go back to the Triumph Dolomite Sprint and, er, TR7.

HJ

Edited by Honestjohn on 31/01/2009 at 08:36

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - L'escargot
Just to get things into a bit of perspective, has the "credit crunch" or recession had any great significant effect on any Backroomer? The only thing we've noticed is rising prices of petrol, domestic fuel and food. We've started to economise on heating oil, and we shop around more to get the best price for food instead of just getting everything at one store. But that's about it, really.

Edited by L'escargot on 31/01/2009 at 15:18

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Alby Back
My business and therefore income has halved in the past twelve months. 30% of my customer base have gone bust in the past year and a significant number of those who remain are uninsurable for credit for my orders. Several of those are teetering on the brink of insolvency.I have traded through all the pevious downturns of the last 30 years but I have never seen anything like this.

I have never had so many bad debtors and those include businesses which I would as recently as 18 months ago have regarded as copper bottomed.

Exchange rate pressure is forcing prices up and the market is forcing them down. Quite frankly, we won't have a viable business ourselves for much longer if these trends continue.

So, yes in answer to the question, quite significant.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - oilrag
Wishing you well, Humph...
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - smokie
"Just to get things into a bit of perspective, has the "credit crunch" or recession had any great significant effect on any Backroomer"

Goodness L'Escargot, do you think the media is making it up? Didn't you hear, Lehman Brothers and Woolworth's went bust, along with a host of other well known names.

I'm glad that Humph has responded with his experiences, although I feel sorry for his and the other businesses which are suffering. There are a lot of folk who are still in their comfortable bubble at the moment, and have no inkling of the effect the crunch is having on businesses (and therefore ultimately most people). I'd conceded that the Backroom's clientèle appears to consist largely of people who have not yet been impacted, and I don't want to become one of the harbingers of doom, but it really doesn't look very good out there...

Edited by smokie on 31/01/2009 at 16:21

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
Acquisitive crime rate is rising steadily after years of going down, we're (sadly) busier than ever.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - stunorthants26
Im not aware of anyone personally who has been affected as yet. Ive heard of people in retail having issues and of course banking etc, but it seems to be in certain sectors at the moment.

My business is very strong, helped by my customers being middle to upper management in the main along with many company owners. Im sure this is the reason Im not feeling it as yet - if your customers are Joe public as it were, I would be very worried, but mine have alot more to fall back on that your average folk.
I have alot of retired folk ( albeit wealthy ones )on the books, not sure how they will be affected yet - they are certainly spending strongly at the moment and talking to them, few are doing anything different.

My mum works in public transport and is the only person in the company who can do what she does - that certainly helps avoiding the cutting block.

My sister is in property rentals and she said business is exceptional, best she has ever known it although rents are going down, demand is excellent - over-supply of properties is behind lower rents.

Im just waiting for the ensuing chaos - we grow all our own veg and have enough food to last 6 months frozen away - lets hope we dont need it!
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - adverse camber
Lots of people affected.

One local solicitors firm have lost a partner and have anumber of admin staff going through the process of redundancy.

I know quite a few people who have suddenly gone from totally safe/secure to being worried about their jobs.

Lots of closed up shops.

Where do people live if they havent seen any sign of this?

And things will get much worse. As peoples customers go bust the bad debt will crystalise through the supply chain and things will go from being a little overdue to never going to be paid. Too many people assuming that things will work out.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - stunorthants26
I think working for cash certainly helps me retain my cashflow, never give credit, never need to. I think giving credit is a crazy business approach - if they got the money, they should be able to pay at point of purchase.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - adverse camber
thats fine for very small businesses (except that it means you are very vulnerable to cutbacks - people feel cash) but isnt really an option for larger scale outfits or business to business stuff.

If I demanded cash payment from Siemens or Barclays or the NHS I wouldnt get very far.


As an aside, I've just seen this refered to on another forum

These are charts showing the level of borrowing from the US treasury -
seekingalpha.com/article/115525-the-scariest-chart...r

Note the different scales.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly

"One local solicitors firm have lost a partner and have a number of admin staff going through the process of redundancy"

This is the first time ever I've come across this in 30 years in the Business, we stuck to our core business through thick and thin (i.e. crime)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - adverse camber
I had no idea that it was so unusual. I dont generally have much to do with solicitors.

I only know because one of my neighbours is on the redundancy list and mentioned that one partner had gone and that a couple of others have reduced hours (I dont know how hours makes any difference - I guess it depends on the partnership agreement)

They're a general firm - lots of property and commercial.

Edited by adverse camber on 31/01/2009 at 18:59

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
Nor me ! You don't really count the hours that you do - like yesterday 11 hour day won't get extra money (just a banging headache) - Last week in February will be a 60 to 70 hour week again no extra pay. Looking forward to being salaried in April, albeit on a short term contract.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Old Navy
We broke one of our retirement rules today, went to shopping centres on a Saturday. We drove to Glasgow, (50 miles, having lived in Australia cures you of distance), visited two major shopping areas, city centre and suburb sheds. The car parks were packed, shopping centers buzzing, thousands of people carrying branded shopping bags, had to wait for my lunch, situation normal. Must remember to do this mid week in future. Hope you weather your storm L'escargot.

Edited by Old Navy on 31/01/2009 at 18:56

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - ifithelps
...we stuck to our core business through thick and thin (i.e. crime)...

Large provincial firm near me recently shut its property department with about 40 job losses.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
We do very little property work now - just the odd bit for friends and long standing clients.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - ifithelps
The other thing this firm did is drop the traditional 'Smith, Jones and Smith' style to become 'SJS legal'.

When I saw that, I knew it would end in tears. :)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - adverse camber
...we stuck to our core business through thick and thin (i.e. crime)...


I'd never thought of PU in stripes and mask before...
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
Only figuratively speaking ;-)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Alby Back
Perhaps I could pick your brains PU? Such as best / most lucrative / least messy / lowest risk entry level crimes for beginners and so on. Just in case of the urgent need you understand......

;-)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - adverse camber
Start a bank
;-)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Alby Back
I think some of my customers think I am one........

:-(
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Old Navy
Just came across this.

www.edinburghnews.scotsman.com/latestnews/sales-ar...p

Not sure if I am allowed to make this referal, but it reflects what I saw in Glasgow today. Are things different daan sarf?

Edited by Old Navy on 31/01/2009 at 19:37

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
One of my neighbours has just bought a brand new Jazz - talking to him earlier, he got a good discount but it was pretty busy in the showroom.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - madf
Over 60% of jobs in Scotland are Governmnet or councils.
About 25% of Scots live on benefits.

So most Scots will be unaffected.

In Edinburgh the main industry is banking. RBS and Band of Scotland (HBOS) have got bust and are being propped up by taxpayers.

So in summary few Scots will be affected: until taxpayers can no longer afford to pay for them.


Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Old Navy
madf - You are right of course, I am a Londoner who lives in Scotland by choice and yes the taxpayer pays my pension. Good value in my opinion. But are things busy in the southeast? I havent been down for a few months.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - midlifecrisis
Perhaps I could pick your brains PU? Such as best / most lucrative / least
messy / lowest risk entry level crimes for beginners and so on. Just in case
of the urgent need you understand......


Tip-never, ever admit to anything. The odds will be decidedly in your favour. (CPS have gotta keep their stats up!)

Father in Law is a builder who has never had to advertise in the 16 years I've known him. Always in demand. He's existing on small bitty jobs at the moment. (As opposed to the individual, expensive houses he usually builds)
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - henry k
When you see "Linklaters: 270 London jobs to go"
www.thelawyer.com/cgi-bin/item.cgi?id=136509&d=477...8
or
Peter Jones says recession will hit Dragons Den
tinyurl.com/b6au38
It already has ( motoring link)
Theo Paphitis and Deborah Meaden suffered the BBC 2 show's first recession loss, with the collapse last week of green haulier JPM Logistics into administration
tinyurl.com/cut7z4

How has the current situation affected me ? My shares are worth a quarter of their value at the peak and half of what I bought them for a few years ago.
My pension should see me survive OK but I shudder to think of the impact on so many.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Falkirk Bairn
Shares down 50%
Bank int received down 50%
Part time hours down 50%

BUT

I have a good wife, I keep well and have 3 x sons & 3 x grandchildren - money is less important than them.
Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Westpig
My business is very strong helped by my customers being middle to upper management in the main along with many company owners.... I have alot of retired folk ( albeit wealthy ones )on the books not sure how they will be affected yet - they are certainly spending strongly at the moment and talking to them few are doing anything different.


might explain why my in laws hotel in NW Scottish Highlands is ticking along nicely then. It's expensive and pitched at the upper end of the market... they were beginning to worry and when 2 staff left last year, didn't bother replacing them, expecting some difficult times

but to date: the last quarter of 2008 was one of their best yet and the bookings for 2009 are beginning to fly in... although they're not counting their chickens just yet.. and I don't blame them.

I wondered if the poor value of the Pound versus the Euro has meant some people changing their Continental holiday for one in Blighty?.. or is that too soon to have worked into the system

Edited by Westpig on 31/01/2009 at 21:33

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - mare
Just to get things into a bit of perspective has the "credit crunch" or recession
had any great significant effect on any Backroomer?


Yes, i'm a Property Developer.

Sales completely evaporated. But the interest rate cut have saved our bacon, because we're finishing the units and renting them for 2 years. Building costs starting to drop as subbies' orders decline, and much harder to get credit for materials and the like.

Credit Crunch Takes its toll:Volume 12 - Pugugly
The guy who built my walls turned up yesterday to price a minor change - his quote per meter square were within a couple a couple of quid of what we paid ten years ago - he is good and was very much in demand at one time.